ml:sample:2020-01-ncp-0222
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ml:sample:2020-01-ncp-0222 [2020/02/23 09:49] jinlong [预测未来的发展趋势] |
ml:sample:2020-01-ncp-0222 [2020/07/12 12:07] (当前版本) |
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| 根据 y=k/(1+e^(a+bx))可以求得未来的确诊量变化趋势如下： | 根据 y=k/(1+e^(a+bx))可以求得未来的确诊量变化趋势如下： | ||
| - | ^ 日期 ^ x ^ y ^ 预计增量 ^ 实际增量 ^ 增量偏差 ^ | 20200202 | 6 | 16339 | 2714 | | | | + | ^ 日期 ^ x ^ y ^ 预计增量 ^ 实际增量 ^ 增量偏差 ^ |
| - | | 20200203 | 7 | 19439 | 3100 | | | | + | | 20200222 | 26 | 78050 | 861 | 649 | -212 | |
| - | | 20200204 | 8 | 22921 | 3482 | | | | + | | 20200223 | 27 | 78753 | 703 | 416 | -287 | |
| - | | 20200205 | 9 | 26759 | 3838 | | | | + | | 20200224 | 28 | 79326 | 573 | 517 | -56 | |
| - | | 20200206 | 10 | 30902 | 4143 | | | | + | | 20200225 | 29 | 79790 | 464 | 411 | -53 | |
| - | | 20200207 | 11 | 35274 | 4372 | | | | + | | 20200226 | 30 | 80166 | 376 | 440 | 64 | |
| - | | 20200208 | 12 | 39780 | 4506 | | | | + | | 20200227 | 31 | 80469 | 303 | 329 | 26 | |
| - | | 20200209 | 13 | 44313 | 4533 | | | | + | | 20200228 | 32 | 80714 | 245 | 430 | 185 | |
| - | | 20200210 | 14 | 48762 | 4449 | | | | + | | 20200329 | 33 | 80910 | 196 | 579 | 383 | |
| - | | 20200211 | 15 | 53024 | 4262 | | | | + | | 20200301 | 34 | 81069 | 159 | 206 | 47 | |
| - | | 20200212 | 16 | 57014 | 3990 | | | | + | | 20200302 | 35 | 81196 | 127 | 128 | 1 | |
| - | | 20200213 | 17 | 60669 | 3655 | | | | + | | 20200303 | 36 | 81298 | 102 | 120 | 18 | |
| - | | 20200214 | 18 | 63952 | 3283 | | | | + | | 20200304 | 37 | 81380 | 82 | 143 | 61 | |
| - | | 20200215 | 19 | 66848 | 2896 | | | | + | | 20200305 | 38 | 81446 | 66 | 145 | 79 | |
| - | | 20200216 | 20 | 69363 | 2515 | | | | + | | 20200306 | 39 | 81498 | 52 | 103 | 51 | |
| - | | 20200217 | 21 | 71517 | 2154 | | | | + | | 20200307 | 40 | 81541 | 43 | 46 | 3 | |
| - | | 20200218 | 22 | 73341 | 1824 | | | | + | | 20200308 | 41 | 81575 | 34 | 45 | 11 | |
| - | | 20200219 | 23 | 74870 | 1529 | | | | + | | 20200309 | 42 | 81602 | 27 | 20 | -7 | |
| - | | 20200220 | 24 | 76140 | 1270 | | | | + | | 20200310 | 43 | 81623 | 21 | 31 | 10 | |
| - | | 20200221 | 25 | 77189 | 1049 | | | | + | | 20200311 | 44 | 81641 | 18 | 25 | 7 | |
| - | | 20200222 | 26 | 78050 | 861 | | | | + | | 20200312 | 45 | 81655 | 14 | 11 | -3 | |
| - | | 20200223 | 27 | 78753 | 703 | | | | + | | 20200313 | 46 | 81666 | 11 | 18 | 7 | |
| - | | 20200224 | 28 | 79326 | 573 | | | | + | | 20200314 | 47 | 81675 | 9 | | | |
| - | | 20200225 | 29 | 79790 | 464 | | | | + | | 20200315 | 48 | 81682 | 7 | | | |
| - | | 20200226 | 30 | 80166 | 376 | | | | + | | 20200316 | 49 | 81688 | 6 | | | |
| - | | 20200227 | 31 | 80469 | 303 | | | | + | |
| - | | 20200228 | 32 | 80714 | 245 | | | | + | |
| - | | 20200301 | 33 | 80910 | 196 | | | | + | |
| - | | 20200302 | 34 | 81069 | 159 | | | | + | |
| - | | 20200303 | 35 | 81196 | 127 | | | | + | |
| - | | 20200304 | 36 | 81298 | 102 | | | | + | |
| - | | 20200305 | 37 | 81380 | 82 | | | | + | |
| - | | 20200306 | 38 | 81446 | 66 | | | | + | |
| - | | 20200307 | 39 | 81498 | 52 | | | | + | |
| - | | 20200308 | 40 | 81541 | 43 | | | | + | |
| - | | 20200309 | 41 | 81575 | 34 | | | | + | |
| - | | 20200310 | 42 | 81602 | 27 | | | | + | |
| - | | 20200311 | 43 | 81623 | 21 | | | | + | |
| - | | 20200312 | 44 | 81641 | 18 | | | | + | |
| - | | 20200313 | 45 | 81655 | 14 | | | | + | |
| - | | 20200314 | 46 | 81666 | 11 | | | | + | |
| - | | 20200315 | 47 | 81675 | 9 | | | | + | |
| - | | 20200316 | 48 | 81682 | 7 | | | | + | |
| - | | 20200317 | 49 | 81688 | 6 | | | | + | |
ml/sample/2020-01-ncp-0222.1582422579.txt.gz · 最后更改: 2020/07/12 12:07 (外部编辑)